Regarding Iran and its supposed reluctancy, I watched many MSM pundits putting forward possible dates of the retaliation strike. However, no one had reached the obvious conclusion what is the delay about.
One of the most important holidays for Shia Muslims is Arbaeen. I am not going to elaborate on its significance, you can google it yourself.
This year the end of Arbaeen is on 25Aug. It’s also a national holiday in Iran. The culmination is during the last week when millions of Shia pilgrims from all around the world are gathering in Karbala, Iraq to visit the Imam Hussain mosque. 3M+ of pilgrims are Iranians. If you just check the number of flights to/from Baghdad and Najaf airports you will see the scale of the event, which is the largest annual gathering of the people in the world.
Iranian action during the pilgrimage would probably trigger the terrorist attacks by Israel proxies (a.k.a. ISIS) causing massive casualties.
Iran will wait until all the pilgrims safely leave Iraq. Iran will not risk the closure of the airspace or the land border crossings.
I think the victory in Kursk is more movie making than actually tactical and basically heavy payment by Ukraine and western mercenaries in Ukraine uniform will be met eventually it’s more guerrilla or terrorist warfare against civilians in farms and small hamlets. Although the aim was sinister satanic to attack a nuclear facility
First discussion on Kursk that I’ve heard that seemed to make sense. It’s still early, but much appreciate the effort. Was hoping to hear from Mearsheimer and Freeman but the “Judging Freedom” interviews seem to have disappeared.
Regarding Iran and its supposed reluctancy, I watched many MSM pundits putting forward possible dates of the retaliation strike. However, no one had reached the obvious conclusion what is the delay about.
One of the most important holidays for Shia Muslims is Arbaeen. I am not going to elaborate on its significance, you can google it yourself.
This year the end of Arbaeen is on 25Aug. It’s also a national holiday in Iran. The culmination is during the last week when millions of Shia pilgrims from all around the world are gathering in Karbala, Iraq to visit the Imam Hussain mosque. 3M+ of pilgrims are Iranians. If you just check the number of flights to/from Baghdad and Najaf airports you will see the scale of the event, which is the largest annual gathering of the people in the world.
Iranian action during the pilgrimage would probably trigger the terrorist attacks by Israel proxies (a.k.a. ISIS) causing massive casualties.
Iran will wait until all the pilgrims safely leave Iraq. Iran will not risk the closure of the airspace or the land border crossings.
That’s my humble opinion.
I think the victory in Kursk is more movie making than actually tactical and basically heavy payment by Ukraine and western mercenaries in Ukraine uniform will be met eventually it’s more guerrilla or terrorist warfare against civilians in farms and small hamlets. Although the aim was sinister satanic to attack a nuclear facility
First discussion on Kursk that I’ve heard that seemed to make sense. It’s still early, but much appreciate the effort. Was hoping to hear from Mearsheimer and Freeman but the “Judging Freedom” interviews seem to have disappeared.