Russia's Autumn Season of Hell in Ukraine

Outnumbered Russian forces forced to withdraw in multiple areas in face of series of large Kiev regime counteroffensives

We can call this Russia’s season of hell in Ukraine.

As a result of the Kiev regime building up some 700,000 men under arms through a policy of mass forced conscription, a flood of Western arms to equip them, and a new Pentagon-planned and wargamed strategy of attacking everywhere all along Russia’s undermanned defensive lines in south and east Ukraine at once or in quick succession with fast-moving diversion reconnaissance groups, mechanized infantry and mass human wave cannon fodder attacks trying to get under, exhaust and tied down Russian artillery, rocket systems, and aviation – Russian troops have been force to prioritize, withdraw from, and abandon substantial territory in Kharkov and Kherson to avoid being overrun and enveloped.

As it impossible to believe that intelligence failed to notice and alert the building up of these forces over months, we must regard it as a political failure of the Kremlin to recognize the dangers this presented and adequately prepare for it. The self-limiting restrictions of “Special Military Operation” in terms of manpower and targeting have led to this humiliating and costly retreat on multiple fronts, especially in light that Russia is now de facto in a total war with much of NATO’s military and economic might in Ukraine.


 Inexplicably only some 15% of Russia’s active duty military force has been allocated and deployed to the SMO thus far. More should have been deployed and Russian reserves should have been called up and mobilized far earlier.

 This failure has led to costly defeats in terms of PR, psychological warfare, and lives of both Russian military and east Ukrainian civilians in areas they have withdrawn from, surrendered to the “tender mercies” of Kiev regime brownshirts who are in their own words “hunting them down and killing them like pigs” as collaborators.

Adding insult to injury this has been coupled with apparent US destruction of the Nordstream gas pipelines to Europe, and damaging Kiev regime terrorist attacks on the Kerch bridge to Crimea.

Russia has now finally taken steps to mobilize and increase Russian intervention force strength but it will take some 1-3 months until all the reservists are fully retrained, organized, equipped and deployed into the theatre.

Kiev regime forces are continuing their all-or-nothing counter-offensive everywhere at once, forcing further Russian withdrawals to the south in Kherson, and from the Oskol river line and Krasny Liman in Kharkov and northern Donbass, where a 40,000 strong Ukrainian and Western “mercenary” force is now threatening Lugansk.
Russian forces are on the defensive and backpedaling under overwhelming numbers.
 It is only in central Donetsk that Russia continues on the offensive, making slow marginal gains towards encircling Bakhmut and Adveevka.

There are also indications of a large new Kiev regime offensive about to be launched in the south either into Zaporozhe or southern Donetsk, that could threaten to divide and cut off the supply lines of Russian forces in south Ukraine.

In order to avoid heavy casualties and being enveloped by superior numbers, Russian forces have thus far adopted a tactic similar to the ancient Mongol archer cavalry.
They fire their long range weapons, then wheel and pull back, trading territory for distance, and fire again, repeating ad nauseum, inflicting heavy casualties on lightly armored advancing Kiev regime troops.
But there is only so far they can do this before being forced to make a decision to stand and fight or give up crucial strategic areas like Kherson City, Melitopol, the Zaporozhe Nuclear Power Plant, or Mariupol.

It seems unlikely they will be able to defend all these points, so they will have to prioritize  and withdraw further where necessary and hold where they can until the cavalry arrives in force towards the beginning of December.

By then the Kiev regime’s counteroffensive should have run out of steam: losses of finite Western gear & vehicles they cant repair and can ill afford to lose, trained troops to operate them, and supplies.

Reinforced fresh Russian forces  then look poised to launch their own Winter offensive.
But until then, they most continue to endure Russia’s autumn season of hell in Ukraine and hold on as best they can.